Wednesday, January 21, 2009

China to Spend $124b On Healthcare Reform

The Chinese government will spend 850 billion yuan ($124.26 billion) in the next three years to provide accessible and affordable healthcare to the country's 1.3 billion people.


See how, "Primary healthcare and medical services will become accessible to more people (and) people's medical expenses will be visibly reduced."

China to Unveil Petrochemical Stimulus Package

China is expected to announce a 500-billion-yuan stimulus package for the struggling petrochemical industry.

The proposed package will be submitted to the State Council for approval soon. Sources with China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Association (CPCIA) said it is expected to be announced after the Chinese Lunar New Year.

"The package will focus on oil products restructuring and improvement on technology," an industry insider, who declined to be named, said.

Click here to read about the details.

China's Economy Grows 9 Pct in 2008

China's GDP reached 30.0670 trillion yuan in 2008, up 9 percent year on year.

Even though the growth was the slowest since 2001, when an annual rate of 8.3 percent was recorded, China's performance was better than the average growth for the world economy. How much better?

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Prioritizing Innovation

China’s employment landscape looks sparse right now as many private enterprises that absorb much of the country’s workforce are succumbing to economic stagnation. While the Western world is caught in a tailspin, numerous private enterprises, and exporters in particular, have no place to hide. Their orders are declining to a trickle, and the supply chains of many also have broken down because of a lack of cash. In such a time of gloom, how can they weather the storm through innovation and industrial upgrading? Beijing Review reporter Hu Yue interviewed several economists and entrepreneurs about this issue at the 2008 Dialogue Between Chinese Private Enterprises and Global Fortune 500 held last December in Wenzhou, Zhejiang Province.

See what Wang Zhentao (President of Aokang Group Co. Ltd., a Wenzhou-based shoemaker)means when he says, "It’s time now for private enterprises to join forces in weathering the storm and draw some strength from self-restructuring and innovation."

Chinese Carmakers Steal the Limelight In Detroit

The global financial crisis has stolen much of the glitz and glamour associated with the North American International Auto Show in Detroit as global automakers are struggling to cut costs and stay afloat. However, it has also given Chinese vehicle manufacturers an opportunity to showcase their products and plans for the US market.

China Can Be First to Recover From Crisis

The country's economy has been losing steam over the past six months because the global economic downturn has dealt a blow to its exports sector. Exports dropped in November, the first time in seven years, and the industrial output growth fell to 5.4percent, the lowest in 10 months.

Click to see how, "China's measures have already taken effect."

Tuesday, November 18, 2008

China's New Deal

November 13, 2008
By: Peter Navarro

Years from now, China's embrace of a massive fiscal stimulus, announced this week, will be seen as a far more important marker of the country's emergence as an economic superpower than even the successful hosting of the 2008 Summer Olympic Games.

This two-year, US$600 billion fiscal stimulus - equal to a stunning one-sixth of China's entire gross domestic product - focuses primarily on the construction of economically critical infrastructure, such as rail and energy networks and politically critical infrastructure, like low-income housing and healthcare. The historic importance of China's "New Deal" is evident in at least five factors.

First, China's swift action aptly illustrates how this putatively communist country can flexibly embrace the kind of mainstream Keynesian economics that has kept the capitalist world (mostly) in prosperity since the end of the Great Depression. It's pitch-perfect fiscal policy.

Second, in a supreme irony, China has acted far more quickly and decisively than the United States, with the students now teaching their former mentors. Indeed, Chinese officials, many of them schooled in US universities, seemed to have grasped far more quickly than US officials like Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke the futility of relying solely on interest rate cuts for rapid recovery.

In particular, businesses won't invest, no matter how low interest rates go, if the recession remains. Nor will lower interest rates entice consumers to buy big-ticket items such as cars and houses if they are worried about their jobs and shrinking stock portfolios. Chinese officials have grasped this point, even as European officials have thus far rejected fiscal stimulus and US officials continue to quibble over the size and timing of any package.

Third, China's fiscal stimulus package puts a powerful exclamation point on the tightly woven interconnectedness of the world's major economies. While China continues to run large trade surpluses with the US and Europe, it is equally true that exports to China by American, European and even Asian countries constitute an ever-increasing component of economic growth.

In this global trade, countries like Germany, Japan and the US provide sophisticated capital equipment for China's "factory floor". As China expands its infrastructure, companies like Hitachi and Caterpillar likewise benefit from increased sales to China.

Fourth, the focus of China's fiscal stimulus particularly on infrastructure illustrates a sophisticated understanding - seemingly lacking in the United States - of what is necessary to build a strong economy. In its next stage of development, China's rail system must far better serve the inland areas of China where large pockets of rural poverty and high unemployment persist, despite three decades of robust growth. In fact, while the coastal areas from the Pearl River Delta up to Dalian have prospered, much of inland China remains impoverished. Swiftly developing better roads and rail and a more reliable and extensive electricity grid and water system is just what the country needs.

Fifth, China's New Deal will act as a powerful stimulus for domestic demand. Today, the Chinese economy is far too heavily dependent on export-driven growth. By stimulating domestic demand, China will not only better insulate itself from the vagaries of global trade. Rising domestic demand should also help reduce trade frictions that have arisen because of the large trade surpluses China runs with Europe and the US.

Finally, China's fiscal stimulus may also prove to be the beginning of the end of China's willingness to finance the budget and trade deficits of the United States.

For almost a decade, China has recycled many of the dollars it has earned through its export trade back into the US bond market. This has kept interest rates low in America and allowed the American consumer to spend far beyond his or her means.

Now, however, China is going to need its foreign reserves and export earnings for domestic purposes. That should certainly mean fewer dollars available for recycling back to the US. In this way, China's fiscal stimulus may act as a significant constraint on America's own ability to successfully implement its own fiscal stimulus - even as China uses Keynesian policies to eclipse the US as the world's reigning economic superpower.

Peter Navarro is a professor at The Paul Merage School of Business at the University of California-Irvine, a CNBC contributor and author of The Coming China Wars. www.peternavarro.com.